Delaware Business Insurance Update by CNC Insurance Associates Inc. "Predictive Models Not To Predictive" 11-10-13

Predictive modeling is common in insurance underwriting. Insurance companies use computers to analyze data about each customer, with other variables, to predict the chance of loss. These technical "magic beans" are suppose to help insurance companies become more profitable. However I just looked at insurers combined ratios through 3 quarters of 2013 and there are a lot of insurers not making any a whole lot of money on underwriting. As a matter of fact the majority of insurers are barely breaking even. I have been in the business a long time and today's combined ratios are no better than when underwriters used their experience and expertise to predict losses back in the day.  The predictive models are not really making much of an impact in my opinion. Millions of dollars are being spent by insurance companies to perfect these computer models in hopes to squeeze out more profit. I think the only profit advantage that these predictive models will give are the payroll reductions as the computer replaces the underwriter. My prediction from my  "predictive model" is that computers will do no better than humans when it comes to making a profit on predicting risk. Until next time be careful out there and know your risks.

By G. Kevin Nemith President of CNC Insurance Associates, Small Business Insurance Center
Serving DE, MD, PA, NJ, & VA
www.cncinsurance.com
www.bizinsurancetv.org

Popular posts from this blog

Delaware Legislature Preparing To Revisit Dram Shop Liability

Here we go again. Representative Peterson is preparing to introduce limited dram shop liability for consideration. The legislation caps the liability at $250,000 but, as is usually the case, this creates a starting point where limits are eventually increased once it's decided by the powers that be that the current limit is too low. This also puts restaurants, bars, etc, at an increased risk due to the vague wording of the legislation, specifically "reckless" sale of alcohol by the business. Also, you can be sure that if this legislation is passed, that rates will go up commensurately for not only Liquor Liability coverage, but if actual damages begin to be paid out under this law, that insurance rates on the whole will see an increase.
Read more

Get employees back to work quickly to keep work comp costs down

Image
In the past I have spoken to clients regarding a particular workers compensation claim affecting them and have asked if they have brought the employee back to work yet. Too many times the answer is no, they have nothing for that employee to do since said employee is not 100% and unable to perform their specific job prior to their workers compensation injury/claim. The problem with this is that too often employers miss the point that even though an employee can't perform in the position they were in prior to their injury, it behooves the employer to create some type of alternative task/job the employee can do until such time they are able to resume their normal duties. Bringing that employee back to work means that work comp benefits /payments in that particular claim are being curtailed, thereby saving the employer potentially more being paid out, while adding to their experience mod and driving their overall work comp expenses up.
Read more

Important to notify insurance company of potential liability claims

Image
When trying to manage their insurance policies, many business owners make the decision not to turn in potential claims and decide to take care of them on their own. By paying for small claims, such as property damage, etc, they strive to keep claim frequency down and in turn keep renewal premiums down. One area of insurance they should not try to manage though is potential liability situations/claims. Most policy conditions require prompt notification of any potential liability claims to the insurance company and if a claim isn't turned in promptly, the policy language does note that the company can deny a claim due to late notification. It's important to do this early on since information/memories are still fresh and it gives the insurance company time to completely investigate the potential claim. The potential for a liability claim is most likely the small business owner's greatest area of risk, whether they operate a restaurant, cleaning service or any other busi
Read more